Looking at Egg Prices for Hints of Inflation

Let’s revisit some prices of some commodities for hints of ongoing or surging inflation. For this go round, I looked at eggs and milk and added coffee based upon some videos.

Is inflation surging from the tariffs?

Note: Images are blurry maybe due to enlarging the images twice, once in a photo editor and once in here.

Egg Prices and inflation

I enlarged the graph so we can see it better. Image 1 shows the annualized egg prices, and it strongly suggests that yes, egg prices are going up, up and up. BUT…

Looking at lot more closely, we can see that price of eggs has declined since it peaked in March 2025. Now, I do remember that previously there was bird flu causing farmers to cull their chickens, thus contributing to the egg shortage. Tariffs are NOT causing eggs to rise.

But people should be happier now that egg prices have declined; exactly what they voted for.

If you want to go to the webpage with the data, here’s the link.

Milk Prices

Again, these milk prices are annualized, so let’s look closer over the last few months:

Okay, now we are seeing prices surge in July. It went down in April, heading towards May, and then started to pick up in May with a strong surge in July. But is this tariff?

I don’t know. I kind of think not.

The link for the webpage with the data is here.

Coffee prices

I added coffee because I heard somewhere, in some videos, that coffee will be impacted.

But I have a problem: coffee has been rising since 2019, during Trump administration.

Image 6 displays the prices in a little more detail. If tariff is impacting coffee prices, I would expect to see an acceleration of increases, but in Image 6, I’m just seeing a steady increase.

I’m not really seeing inflation in these small samples.

The link for the coffee prices is here.

I’m feeling it in the general groceries

But I am feeling it in the general groceries, but feelings don’t count. I’m going to have to work some more on the data to see if they are surging somewhere.

There may be a delayed function going on.