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The Rally is Tomorrow and the Coronavirus is Still Spreading

Every time WordPress does its update on its Block Editor, I have to experiment with various plug ins activated or deactivated to be able to do a new post because something always come up broken. Sometimes I'll be able to get the Gutenberg block editor and other times I can't. Today is one of those times when I have to use the old editor. I wish WordPress and the plug in developers get it together.

Anyway, I was going to do a post on the next chapter of Algorithms for Dummies but it will take me a while to develop the page as I have some ideas of how I want to arrange the information. It looks like it is going to be a long post so I want to vary the screen layout just to spice up the text arrangement.

Instead I'll do a brief comment on the rally in Oklahoma in the midst of the pandemic.

So, the rally is tomorrow and Oklahoma, and more specifically Tulsa, is in the midst of a spiking cases of infection. I have a graph from 6/18/2020 only for the state of Oklahoma but the news have been showing Tulsa spiking.

Yes, as a matter of fact, US is now on an upward trend, even with New York on the decline, so that means the rest of the US is now starting to spike. Below are the latest graphs, 6/18/2020, of the US on the left, of the Regions in the middle and the breakout of the Regions on the right. The Regional graphs shows that the South and to a little extent the West is where the coronavirus is really starting to spread.

The states are hard to see in the graph on the right, but the top three for the Southern region is Texas, Florida and North Carolina. The top two for the Western region is California and Arizona. Florida and Arizona have been mentioned in the news a particularly worrisome. Arizona is supposedly running out of hospital capacity which means once the hospitals are totally filled, any new infection rates means some kind of triage or rationing of care because there is just not enough beds or other resources. That basically means some people may die.

Social distancing, masks and stay-at-home orders were/are an attempt to try to make sure we don't reach the point of no more hospital capacity. Arizona sounds like the state close to capacity.

There has been some good news though: Minnesota does not seem to incurring infection surges due to protests. The reasoning is that the protests were held outdoors and protesters wore masks. So, even if there is no social distancing, the combination of being outdoors and wearing masks could be helping.

The Tulsa, Oklahoma rally will be another experiment: that of a large group of people (19,000 in one building with Trump and 40,000(?) in another building) clustered together and possibly wearing masks. But they are not required to wear masks. And being Republicans who have been protesting for the right to NOT wear masks because masks impinges on their rights to make their own decision, it's likely quite a few, if not most, will not wear masks. Tomorrow will tell.

Below are some more graphs of major states with surging infection rates. By the way, I've replaced the cumulative total of infection rates with daily hospitalization rate. You can see rising hospitalization in Arizona, Texas and North Carolina. It looks like Florida does not provide good hospital data or I am pulling the wrong set of data.

Source of information:

Daily infection rate and moving average- Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_data/United_States_medical_cases
Hospitalization rate- The Atlantic COVID Tracking Project - license CC BY-NC-4.0) https://covidtracking.com/

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