This site under reconstruction.
Wow! What a week! And what a spectacular failure of the pollsters. There is going to have to be a very deep review of the polling process to figure out how to change things for the current American emotional makeup. Something! I’ve been searching for reviews on what went wrong during the polling because I…
So, we are at the last weekend before Election Day. Coming out are all of these last-minute polls and polling analyses and the concomitant verdict of who is going to win. The ones making the final forecast seems to always preface their declarations, “I don’t believe in the polls…but…” Why don’t they believe in the…
We are now about 2 weeks and some days until the nation voting day takes place (actually, it is taking place now with the early voting and the mail in). So, immense stress over the next two weeks and then depending on the outcome, either more intense stress or a great sigh of relief. I…
Just a quick post tonight but I cannot believe that it was barely two weeks ago (September 26) that hurricane Francine smashed into the Big Bend of Florida and then went on to wreck Georgia, North Carolina and Tennessee with absolute devastation. People in remote regions of the mountains still haven’t been reached. Those small…
“Nowhere is safe” – Asheville, North Carolina resident Oliver Milman, “‘Nowhere is safe’: shattered Asheville shows stunning reach of climate crisis”, The Guardian, October 1, 2024 When I last did my last post last week, I had no idea the devastation that would be wrought by the hurricane. I feared it would be bad for…
There are various types of forecasting: corporate finance, weather, political polling, etc. Some are probably using new AI tools to aid in the prediction business. Business forecasts I’ve done a lot of the corporate finance type forecasting where I would send to corporate what the team or location thought would be the financial result for…